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10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 40bps?
Above 40bps52%
No48%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread18%
ResolvesJan 7, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
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Resolution rules
If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is above 40bps, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value
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As of Sep 29, 11:02 PM UTC