USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026: Will U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone for December 2026 be above 57.5%?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone, for December 2026 is above 57.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the percentage share attributed to USD for December 2026 in the “International payments currency - Excluding payments within Eurozone” table published by Swift in its Global Currency Tracker. The statistic is based on the value of live and delivered MT 103, MT 202, and equivalent ISO 20022 payment messages exchanged on Swift, including customer-initiated and institutional payments. This market will use the first value published by Swift for December 2026. Corrections or revisions published after Expiration will not be considered. If Swift changes the title, format, or location of the Global Currency Tracker but continues to publish a materially equivalent statistic, the corresponding successor publication may be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 12:13 PM UTC