KalshiOpen

USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026: Will U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone for December 2026 be above 57.0%?

Above 57.0%95%
No6%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 28, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone, for December 2026 is above 57.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the percentage share attributed to USD for December 2026 in the “International payments currency - Excluding payments within Eurozone” table published by Swift in its Global Currency Tracker. The statistic is based on the value of live and delivered MT 103, MT 202, and equivalent ISO 20022 payment messages exchanged on Swift, including customer-initiated and institutional payments. This market will use the first value published by Swift for December 2026. Corrections or revisions published after Expiration will not be considered. If Swift changes the title, format, or location of the Global Currency Tracker but continues to publish a materially equivalent statistic, the corresponding successor publication may be used.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 10:47 AM UTC