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US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026: Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 11%?
No87%
Above 11%13%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026next month
Probability history
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Resolution rules
If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 11%, then the market resolves to Yes.
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As of Sep 30, 04:36 AM UTC