KalshiOpen
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026: Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 9%?
No88%
Above 9%12%
Price checked at
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread29%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026next month
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteHolders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 12:31 AM UTC