KalshiResolved

Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Sep 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

No85%
By Sep 18, 202615%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesMay 15, 2027in 8 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 27Sep 2Sep 8Sep 13Sep 19

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Sep 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 1, 10:24 AM UTC