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Major news story in Sep 2026?: Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 2 in Sep 2026?

No98%
At least 22%

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24h volume$58.5
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section. Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016

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As of Sep 29, 11:48 PM UTC