KalshiOpen

Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.4%?

No96%

Above 0.4%4%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:42 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$396.4

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread5%

ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the headline PCE inflation for August 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, including food and energy, published in the Personal Income and Outlays release for August 2026. The first officially published August 2026 value will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market outcome.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.3%?	Kalshi	73% Above 0.3%	$74.1	—	—	Open
Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.1%?	Kalshi	87% Above 0.1%	$32	—	—	Open
Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.5%?	Kalshi	93% No	$0	—	—	Open
Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.7%?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.6%?	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.2%?	Kalshi	86% Above 0.2%	$0	—	—	Open
Headline PCE inflation in Aug 2026: Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.0%?	Kalshi	98% Above 0.0%	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 11:26 PM UTC