KalshiOpen

Top Chinese AI Company this month? Alibaba

No98%
Alibaba2%

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24h volume$781.1
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 16 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Top Chinese AI Company this month? XiaomiKalshi95% XiaomiOpen
Top Chinese AI Company this month? MoonshotKalshi97% NoOpen
Top Chinese AI Company this month? DeepSeekKalshi99% NoOpen
Top Chinese AI Company this month? TencentKalshi99% NoOpen
Top Chinese AI Company this month? Z.aiKalshi99% NoOpen
Top Chinese AI Company this month? MiniMaxKalshi99% NoOpen
Top Chinese AI Company this month? BaiduKalshi99% NoOpen
Top Chinese AI Company this month? ByteDanceKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC