Top Chinese AI Company this month? Z.ai
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If Z.ai is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? Xiaomi | Kalshi | 96% Xiaomi | Open |
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? Alibaba | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? Moonshot | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? DeepSeek | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? Tencent | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? MiniMax | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? Baidu | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Top Chinese AI Company this month? ByteDance | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:15 PM UTC