Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?

Yes65%
No36%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 22, 2026in 22 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves from the rate change identified in the Bank of Korea’s official meeting release and may resolve when that release is issued; Kalshi specifies the official policy-rate decision and has explicit cancellation/delay and emergency-change rules. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?

    This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

    54 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 21, 07:12 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Bank of Korea rate decision in October: Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?

    If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Maintain current rate at October Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

    read Sep 29, 08:07 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders54
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 48% · best ask 51%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296682840440887573677435093188113779720289146680826393576080254006222340269125216
  • sweetj82840440887573677435093188113779720289146680826393576080254006222340269125216
  • neutralwave2385295589449362847937877856810440341663990478921925083655796698691566344346791
  • alpha.chen85295589449362847937877856810440341663990478921925083655796698691566344346791
  • balabalababalabala85295589449362847937877856810440341663990478921925083655796698691566344346791

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Recent trades

  • BUY52%$10.48 days ago
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  • SELL48%$488 days ago
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  • SELL49%$48.88 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 09:14 PM UTC