PolymarketOpen

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?

No100%
Yes0%

Price checked at

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24h volume$492.5
7d volume$3.9K
30d volume$15.6K
Liquidity$9.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Sourcehttps://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?Polymarket—Open
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September?Polymarket77% YesOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in September?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 09:24 PM UTC