Will Thabo Manyoni be the next mayor of Mangaung?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 61% No | Open |
| Will Bongani Mathae be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 84% No | Open |
| Will Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Lulaman Oditi-Titi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Sekhopi Malebo be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Motshewa Tladi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Vusimuzi Soqaga be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoTop holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296677159826099231760260148454869797781812981071364830544183163915534370539836181
- InterestingUser89406014481000705366895023287509584050353945658465370769963716711724956860436
- AJSV89406014481000705366895023287509584050353945658465370769963716711724956860436
- Mojito989406014481000705366895023287509584050353945658465370769963716711724956860436
- lolzzzlol89406014481000705366895023287509584050353945658465370769963716711724956860436
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL1%$0.325 days ago
- BUY73%$14.628 days ago
- SELL15%$1.128 days ago
- SELL5%$0.7last month
- SELL1%$0.1last month
- SELL2%$0.1last month
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 08:29 PM UTC