PolymarketOpen

Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?

No93%
Yes7%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.8K
Spread4%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Mangaung’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Mangaung following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Mangaung Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Thabo Manyoni be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket61% NoOpen
Will Bongani Mathae be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Theodorah Mosala-Leeuw be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Lulaman Oditi-Titi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Sekhopi Malebo be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Motshewa Tladi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Vusimuzi Soqaga be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders55
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • InterestingUser36887742397291334153245450273308520043726331947952811290107337269598112463511
  • LocalHunter101377714605461279922052208737132701224203791054850910307954053409583345737038
  • paddaa101377714605461279922052208737132701224203791054850910307954053409583345737038
  • LocalFisherman101377714605461279922052208737132701224203791054850910307954053409583345737038
  • Gl4d101377714605461279922052208737132701224203791054850910307954053409583345737038

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL6%$1.85 days ago
  • BUY96%$1.87 days ago
  • BUY94%$107.27 days ago
  • BUY89%$45.67 days ago
  • BUY88%$14.77 days ago
  • SELL79%$31.67 days ago

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC