Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luis Diaz officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 hours agoTop holders
- Taylordr98727887274544328559498744778133321536001387216318729698173787706368293446474
- Anjun102353698746789103392627451711498177449444175305364598024295455783179764157589
- Opulent-Communicant98727887274544328559498744778133321536001387216318729698173787706368293446474
- Elastic-Banquette102353698746789103392627451711498177449444175305364598024295455783179764157589
- Numitus1994102353698746789103392627451711498177449444175305364598024295455783179764157589
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY98%$48.219 days ago
- SELL2%$0.52 months ago
- SELL3%$0.82 months ago
- BUY96%$1002 months ago
Discussion on Predxy
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- ymbetzzz · 21 days ago
facts
- Monthly-Optimal · last month
There is no way halland will finish in the first 5 save bet
As of Sep 29, 09:33 PM UTC