PolymarketOpen

Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 05:49 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$11.3K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	86% No	$845.4	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	63% Yes	$288.3	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	78% No	$161.7	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$21.7	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$21.7	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	97% No	$20	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 06:17 PM UTC