PolymarketOpen

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No86%

Yes15%

Price checked at Sep 30, 08:20 PM UTC

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24h volume$845.4

7d volume$1.5K

30d volume$4.2K

Liquidity$8.6K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	60% Yes	$288.3	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	78% No	$161.7	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$21.7	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	100% No	$21.7	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Polymarket	97% No	$20	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 13 hours ago

Holders33

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 85% · best ask 86%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296662546475941160193032952740312891279717413554549137565483317671928116889519438
deltasniper9231547769624823628581928283290826021626587019413002099793556881975541614796
SteveTheFish9231547769624823628581928283290826021626587019413002099793556881975541614796
biloute62546475941160193032952740312891279717413554549137565483317671928116889519438
marcopolosrhino9231547769624823628581928283290826021626587019413002099793556881975541614796

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY86%$17.217 hours ago
SELL14%$19.620 hours ago
SELL14%$2.82 days ago
SELL14%$2.83 days ago
BUY85%$173 days ago
BUY85%$17.83 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 08:42 PM UTC