PolymarketOpen
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No100%
Yes0%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$14.7K
Spread0%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 66% Yes | Open |
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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC