PolymarketOpen
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes62%
No38%
Price checked at
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$28.2
7d volume$673.9
30d volume$5.6K
Liquidity$6.6K
Spread3%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoHolders42
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Best bid 30% · best ask 36%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966100432687948739646587101710609568969270821306394702299223912447207889743777454
- balthazar69735375491031838104241264868597697438957468021437178287310137256738557969442
- 387411007415611814092217897387100432687948739646587101710609568969270821306394702299223912447207889743777454
- Nutritious-Emanate69735375491031838104241264868597697438957468021437178287310137256738557969442
- Hauchn69735375491031838104241264868597697438957468021437178287310137256738557969442
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL32%$1.62 days ago
- BUY69%$13.82 days ago
- BUY68%$502 days ago
- BUY34%$6.82 days ago
- BUY34%$6.12 days ago
- SELL37%$7.43 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 09:32 PM UTC