PolymarketResolved

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by September 30?

No100%
Yes0%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$689.5
7d volume$689.5
30d volume$1.2K
Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 1, 202621 hours ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Polymarket89% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders13
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments3

Top holders

  • polyproguy50392377387481007741869726304898052593293329801144528702001192331907174126808
  • neutralwave2335966346084089599100814264262773003839762472279427255862888582270227729676347
  • LornaPredicts35966346084089599100814264262773003839762472279427255862888582270227729676347
  • flexer7835966346084089599100814264262773003839762472279427255862888582270227729676347
  • AJSV35966346084089599100814264262773003839762472279427255862888582270227729676347

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL0%$0.48 days ago
  • BUY1%$0.98 days ago
  • SELL99%$104.717 days ago
  • SELL1%$0.120 days ago
  • BUY1%$0.526 days ago
  • BUY1%$028 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

3 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • buyrightbake · 6 months ago

    That was a fun one.

  • ElMeteor · 10 months ago

    Be a vote by year end

  • ElMeteor · 10 months ago

    Sources say there shoukd

As of Oct 2, 01:16 AM UTC