Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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3 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- buyrightbake · 6 months ago
That was a fun one.
- ElMeteor · 10 months ago
Be a vote by year end
- ElMeteor · 10 months ago
Sources say there shoukd
As of Oct 1, 10:02 PM UTC