Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 98% · best ask 99%
Top holders
- gods-eye6604525250291775688335973650247195674609962806723820206977248327287149671886
- zecach30121906905429978532547203281009389049712442110506637177781624529294357765466
- nonkenny9030121906905429978532547203281009389049712442110506637177781624529294357765466
- arii30121906905429978532547203281009389049712442110506637177781624529294357765466
- Stimulating-Nestling6604525250291775688335973650247195674609962806723820206977248327287149671886
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL98%$19.58 days ago
- SELL98%$391.48 days ago
- BUY2%$19 days ago
- SELL1%$0.79 days ago
- BUY99%$14110 days ago
- SELL98%$12.710 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 10:38 AM UTC