PolymarketOpen

Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC

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24h volume$10

7d volume$15.6

30d volume$186.9

Liquidity$11.1K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	78% No	$40	—	—	Open
Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	95% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	98% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	73% Yes	$10	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders19

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 1% · best ask 2%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296699410314321486676329069168654664370565582561896390212803504236106231529499004
SuperTests85141583459295754598565364406608601530767664310203094775089663095795534379202
Artaius85141583459295754598565364406608601530767664310203094775089663095795534379202
TENETENET85141583459295754598565364406608601530767664310203094775089663095795534379202
LornaPredicts85141583459295754598565364406608601530767664310203094775089663095795534379202

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY100%$14.611 days ago
BUY0%$012 days ago
SELL0%$012 days ago
BUY1%$0.115 days ago
BUY1%$0.115 days ago
BUY1%$0.115 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 09:18 PM UTC