PolymarketOpen

Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

No95%

Yes5%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC

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24h volume$10

7d volume$15.7

30d volume$213.7

Liquidity$11.6K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	78% No	$40	—	—	Open
Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	98% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	Polymarket	73% Yes	$10	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders22

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 4% · best ask 6%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296663932236157770524372336662675450143485584109971412286859398415471917763664849
AiBird58477358214408994600389727720438215943817392307927607469656873298177322478050
ydxistheking58477358214408994600389727720438215943817392307927607469656873298177322478050
gurenus58477358214408994600389727720438215943817392307927607469656873298177322478050
Different-Gas58477358214408994600389727720438215943817392307927607469656873298177322478050

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY96%$1411 days ago
SELL4%$0.411 days ago
SELL4%$012 days ago
SELL4%$0.213 days ago
BUY6%$0.315 days ago
BUY6%$0.315 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC