PolymarketOpen

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

No87%

Yes13%

Price checked at Sep 30, 10:57 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$13.5K

Spread4%

ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	88% No	$66.9	—	—	Open
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	$37.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders18

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

Gaditima113309261237389982156522214606931882773041892695682777301835281103031250730288
Nadmi80484389315515425923345523645693526087142732543641121702699805381369835553282
Perypery80484389315515425923345523645693526087142732543641121702699805381369835553282
Rex41680484389315515425923345523645693526087142732543641121702699805381369835553282
TRADER42080484389315515425923345523645693526087142732543641121702699805381369835553282

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Recent trades

BUY10%$12.86 days ago
SELL9%$4.68 days ago
SELL9%$2.78 days ago
SELL7%$2110 days ago
SELL8%$11.610 days ago
BUY6%$1.813 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 11:10 AM UTC