PolymarketOpen

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 06:09 AM UTC

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24h volume$37.3

7d volume$388.5

30d volume$428.5

Liquidity$12.7K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Polymarket	87% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	89% No	$66.9	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 06:57 AM UTC