Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
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7 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- .dgalvyn · 22 days ago
saw polyitem in wallet, instant mood boost
- usurper55 · 3 months ago
The way i understand it , it will resolve to NO. correct. It requires insane mental gymnastics to justify YES under this ruleset
- zthunderfury · 3 months ago
If he has a heart attack and dies, then would this resolve NO ?
- paddaa · 3 months ago
thank you NPR for giving me new high volume trading opportunities
- Glodisdal · 3 months ago
It's funny that the original Alito NRP article is identical to the one over Breyer from 2022. It really looks more like a precautionary journalistic placeholder than actual information. After all, rumors about Alito have been circulating for at least two years, most recently this past spring.
- bernardbulletin · 3 months ago
NINA
- Cadric · 7 months ago
Alito loves the spotlight too much, especially after Dobbs and his wife's flag drama.
As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC