Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?

Yes90%
No10%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Louisville mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Louisville, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses reporting with official Kentucky or Louisville/Jefferson County sources if needed and allows resolution by April 30, 2027; Kalshi permits accelerated determination after a media consensus and lists an earlier resolution time. These are settlement-procedure differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?

    The 2026 Louisville mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Louisville, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government.

    24 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 26, 03:46 AM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Louisville Mayor Election winner?: Who will win the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election? Craig Greenberg

    If Craig Greenberg wins the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 10:34 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Polymarket93% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders24
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 10% · best ask 12%

Top holders

  • Rr5553970255064946539808849881363728019799391901224878271375271758821109732700855
  • Odd-Relish53970255064946539808849881363728019799391901224878271375271758821109732700855
  • DuneMentat53970255064946539808849881363728019799391901224878271375271758821109732700855
  • Hugin-og-Munin16785369693477169410176763278029469416796186744631019247417028096427851292040
  • Oklmntrader16785369693477169410176763278029469416796186744631019247417028096427851292040

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL88%$0.44 days ago
  • SELL88%$17.64 days ago
  • SELL88%$18.14 days ago
  • BUY11%$2.24 days ago
  • BUY11%$24 days ago
  • SELL89%$20.14 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 30, 02:38 AM UTC