Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?

No93%
Yes8%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$12.9K
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Louisville mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Louisville, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may allow accelerated settlement after a media consensus and lists an earlier nominal resolution time, while Polymarket specifies fallback treatment if the result remains unknown and may use official sources for ambiguity. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Louisville Mayor Election winner?: Who will win the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election? Shameka Parrish-Wright

    If Shameka Parrish-Wright wins the 2026 Louisville, KY mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Sep 29, 10:03 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?

    The 2026 Louisville mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Louisville, KY. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Louisville as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Kentucky and the Louisville/Jefferson County Metro Government.

    15 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 22, 09:55 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Polymarket90% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders15
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • LocalHunter106921598848864653976010122351745929350538195462964073176610971948244108932520
  • Odd-Relish112377381849880735125986966159953872259682147576565476172366091538508722437276
  • spaceloaf112377381849880735125986966159953872259682147576565476172366091538508722437276
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966106921598848864653976010122351745929350538195462964073176610971948244108932520
  • AJSV112377381849880735125986966159953872259682147576565476172366091538508722437276

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As of Sep 29, 10:55 PM UTC