PolymarketOpen

Will Patrick Bumatay be the next Supreme Court nominee?

No91%
Yes9%

Price checked at

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24h volume$162.2
7d volume$183.2
30d volume$891.1
Liquidity$337.4
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Mike Lee be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Ted Cruz be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will John Sauer be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Andrew Oldham be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Aileen Cannon be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Neomi Rao be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will James Ho be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Amul Thapar be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Gregory Katsas be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Will Steven Menashi be the next Supreme Court nominee?Polymarket92% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders12
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments1

Top holders

  • aliiz82200945731816091772177648157115366246955046245274186139215980757339470561054
  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296682200945731816091772177648157115366246955046245274186139215980757339470561054
  • Haradwaith109745311097568344028627593572758001512978440971208063637095192618251909628098
  • LornaPredicts109745311097568344028627593572758001512978440971208063637095192618251909628098
  • Numitus1994109745311097568344028627593572758001512978440971208063637095192618251909628098

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY10%$2.15 days ago
  • SELL89%$17.98 days ago
  • SELL90%$38.78 days ago
  • SELL8%$0.811 days ago
  • SELL8%$012 days ago
  • SELL8%$012 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

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  • Hot-Skull · last month

    January 19, 2029 🫩

As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC