Will James Ho be the next Supreme Court nominee?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Lee be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Ted Cruz be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will John Sauer be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Andrew Oldham be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will Aileen Cannon be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Neomi Rao be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Amul Thapar be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will Gregory Katsas be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Steven Menashi be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Patrick Bumatay be the next Supreme Court nominee? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoTop holders
- aliiz75933109089611953996329023372656655483611974702021825463257872928648520050768
- Fihdrzgdd25737258245959341722261481815876287965857619331701231012697670619370195557822
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296675933109089611953996329023372656655483611974702021825463257872928648520050768
- GuyFromTinder25737258245959341722261481815876287965857619331701231012697670619370195557822
- pootytherewardfarmer25737258245959341722261481815876287965857619331701231012697670619370195557822
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL18%$0.120 days ago
- SELL18%$0.120 days ago
- SELL24%$4.8last month
- BUY67%$107.4last month
- SELL72%$4.5last month
- SELL84%$24.1last month
Discussion on Predxy
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1 comment
From Polymarket's own thread- Hot-Skull · last month
January 19, 2029
As of Sep 29, 09:20 PM UTC