PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?

No81%

Yes20%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:46 PM UTC

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24h volume$143.4

7d volume$898.7

30d volume$2.1K

Liquidity$2.2K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket specifies a settlement time of January 1, 2028 at 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun does not publish a separate settlement timestamp.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 29, 06:30 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
30 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 29, 11:39 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	$117.9	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 hours ago

Holders30

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments5

Best bid 80% · best ask 81%

Top holders

SK4023847162495988949178122149302719599712541731026287558148424530886989069155319
lexaman.eth23847162495988949178122149302719599712541731026287558148424530886989069155319
MaxEnt23847162495988949178122149302719599712541731026287558148424530886989069155319
cripes345016722827434886228098071199323995101273062558968898573438733086102262419488
cc41645016722827434886228098071199323995101273062558968898573438733086102262419488

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY20%$7.711 hours ago
BUY81%$48.616 hours ago
BUY81%$36.519 hours ago
SELL20%$6yesterday
SELL20%$17.8yesterday
SELL21%$9.5yesterday

Discussion on Predxy

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5 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

STANIS11 · 7 days ago
👻👻phantom👻👻
vigneshwar · 4 months ago
No
alma · 6 months ago
ok
lightyagami7968 · 7 months ago
buy yes june 30
vtornik · 9 months ago
ez

As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC