PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No96%

Yes5%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:40 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$5.6K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially the same. Polymarket lists a settlement timestamp of January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun does not specify a settlement time.

Polymarketthis market
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
95 holders · 5 comments · read Sep 29, 09:47 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 29, 09:25 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	$747.9	—	—	Open
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Polymarket	81% No	$143.4	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 hours ago

Holders95

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments5

Top holders

LemonBrothers14794122635046078179585047136788237444402523901332181202010644824276273946143
Decayer49107360480819798419646295758549945130145427072996568752524228053905852755561
Mld1pwnz14794122635046078179585047136788237444402523901332181202010644824276273946143
bartdump14794122635046078179585047136788237444402523901332181202010644824276273946143
Crytor14794122635046078179585047136788237444402523901332181202010644824276273946143

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY5%$55 days ago
SELL5%$511 days ago
SELL5%$1.521 days ago
SELL5%$7.521 days ago
BUY94%$143.221 days ago
SELL6%$1.122 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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5 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

STANIS11 · 7 days ago
👻👻phantom👻👻
vigneshwar · 4 months ago
No
alma · 6 months ago
ok
lightyagami7968 · 7 months ago
buy yes june 30
vtornik · 9 months ago
ez

As of Sep 30, 02:15 AM UTC