Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
read Sep 29, 04:41 PM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
165 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 09:33 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 22 hours agoBest bid 19% · best ask 22%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296653195884283672774026891441921065904229748558118802479137535050914862599831224
- AllByMyseIf53195884283672774026891441921065904229748558118802479137535050914862599831224
- Bursted53195884283672774026891441921065904229748558118802479137535050914862599831224
- nelbal848695209202315953221731508851887979839705663643820783216145554540261400731394010
- Contentious-Dinnerdate95209202315953221731508851887979839705663643820783216145554540261400731394010
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY82%$41yesterday
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- SELL80%$41.7yesterday
- SELL81%$42.2yesterday
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- SELL82%$14.3yesterday
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC