Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

No96%
Yes4%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$52.3
7d volume$468
30d volume$2.3K
Liquidity$19.9K
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria differ in no material way; Polymarket provides a nominal resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not, which does not change the event being measured.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

    This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

    74 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 09:49 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

    This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

    read Sep 29, 09:56 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders74
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 3% · best ask 7%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296673170697677519213126466799577783259192094527074344471848345423260956148410369
  • DancewithRisk39343886299149736442173937357247362270218804234106000619475264640875662651293
  • Trifling-Fruit39343886299149736442173937357247362270218804234106000619475264640875662651293
  • Meek-Drummer73170697677519213126466799577783259192094527074344471848345423260956148410369
  • 0xbd6d646b2c713ce7459afcb1502f34c30f93ed0b39343886299149736442173937357247362270218804234106000619475264640875662651293

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL91%$16yesterday
  • BUY93%$22 days ago
  • BUY93%$18.62 days ago
  • SELL7%$1.92 days ago
  • SELL94%$14 days ago
  • BUY98%$14 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC