PolymarketOpen

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Yes54%
No46%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$300
7d volume$656.1
30d volume$46.6K
Liquidity$6.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders169
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments9

Best bid 45% · best ask 46%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296639922726686074943992323043337069384440100330182435313658155726755185947061273
  • New.Jeans48473883682600707005098412865804303754496452983474980263602779701747181706691
  • ImJustKen39922726686074943992323043337069384440100330182435313658155726755185947061273
  • Red781RuM48473883682600707005098412865804303754496452983474980263602779701747181706691
  • chennw48473883682600707005098412865804303754496452983474980263602779701747181706691

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY46%$8.74 days ago
  • BUY46%$9.24 days ago
  • BUY46%$45.64 days ago
  • BUY56%$2.85 days ago
  • BUY56%$355 days ago
  • BUY44%$14.16 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

9 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • peterpol3 · last month

    spidyy

  • wheelingmatt · last month

    and they most likely to achieve a 1.5B when they start opening pre-sale tickets worldwide, let alone a 3B when it arrives to cinema

  • Laalo · last month

    RDJ as DOOM, TOBEY, THOR, LOKI, CHRIS EVANS, Greatest cast ever and people still think Spiderman will win. Crazy!

  • peterpol3 · 2 months ago

    Everyone is excited to see tony stark as Dr. Doom☠️

  • YourAnimeGirl · 2 months ago

    SPM 47m on Monday and tracking for 550m+ first 7 days. Weekday of Dune 3 also effect to Doomsday OVR? Like it is should 50-50?

  • Euphy · 2 months ago

    Weekdays are expected to be stronger for Doomsday due to the December legs. That's why this market still has Doomsday as the favorite to win.

  • YourAnimeGirl · 2 months ago

    Why SPM is 30% when Dune 3 will be a stronger opponent than Odyssey

  • Euphy · 4 months ago

  • Addresss · 5 months ago

    dune with 11% is funny

As of Sep 30, 12:07 AM UTC