PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

No94%

Yes6%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:10 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$5.7K

Spread5%

ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses consensus of official Democratic sources and specifies that a later replacement does not change resolution; Kalshi states only that acceptance of the nomination resolves Yes and does not publish further criteria.

Polymarketthis market
Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
23 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 06:21 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
If Andrew Yang accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 30, 02:07 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders23

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 0% · best ask 7%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296687839537004753526464247765956990873015052084351920065777147210248093622016191
ZinfandelEnjoyer83482061695443997481862708044451707108632335639208785445466093401153006299757
Pats6983482061695443997481862708044451707108632335639208785445466093401153006299757
peepeepooppoop83482061695443997481862708044451707108632335639208785445466093401153006299757
Haradwaith83482061695443997481862708044451707108632335639208785445466093401153006299757

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Recent trades

SELL8%$1.62 days ago
SELL8%$1.62 days ago
BUY90%$18.12 days ago
BUY2%$53 days ago
SELL1%$0.326 days ago
SELL5%$226 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 03:18 PM UTC