PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:10 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$29.7K

Spread2%

ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves if Walz accepts the nomination, while Polymarket uses the first formally nominated individual who accepts and specifies official Democratic sources plus a no-change-on-replacement rule. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying event.

KalshiOpen →
2028 Democratic VP nominee: Will Tim Walz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?
If Tim Walz accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 30, 02:32 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
29 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 06:05 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will J.B. Pritzker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Gina Raimondo be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Liz Cheney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Beto O’Rourke be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Andrew Yang be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kim Kardashian be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Chris Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders29

Held value—

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Comments0

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296627887867886961490276731585071990310936714407017717910871328929505799234968597
thecaricature61888009400113236974086202038891595196478932003498284437010900884544982737024
ZinfandelEnjoyer61888009400113236974086202038891595196478932003498284437010900884544982737024
Haradwaith61888009400113236974086202038891595196478932003498284437010900884544982737024
cry.eth261888009400113236974086202038891595196478932003498284437010900884544982737024

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As of Sep 30, 03:18 PM UTC