PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes56%

No44%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:07 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$645

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Concrete's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Concrete will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Concrete (https://x.com/ConcreteXYZ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a January 1, 2028 resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not list one. Outcome ordering differs but does not change the question.

PredictFunOpen →
Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Concrete's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Concrete will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Concrete (https://x.com/ConcreteXYZ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-04-03T15:44:12.802997901Z
read Sep 29, 11:09 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Concrete's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Concrete will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Concrete (https://x.com/ConcreteXYZ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
14 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 04:53 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	99% Yes	$2K	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	86% Yes	$190.5	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% Yes	$168.8	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	70% No	$90.2	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	$62	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders14

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

Winbigtogether2519255533814433861221033522151751753283460095274344547597537538869492682563
Crystofar105005535812374171459527339125067207728711925952327587680121244053166722312460
SuperTests2519255533814433861221033522151751753283460095274344547597537538869492682563
KrauzeN105005535812374171459527339125067207728711925952327587680121244053166722312460
AJSV2519255533814433861221033522151751753283460095274344547597537538869492682563

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As of Sep 30, 12:11 AM UTC