PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes99%

No1%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:07 AM UTC

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24h volume$2K

7d volume$2K

30d volume$4.3K

Liquidity$2.1K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Concrete's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Concrete will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Concrete (https://x.com/ConcreteXYZ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket additionally lists a resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not.

Polymarketthis market
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Concrete's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Concrete will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Concrete (https://x.com/ConcreteXYZ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
40 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 04:41 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Concrete's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Concrete will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Concrete (https://x.com/ConcreteXYZ) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-04-03T15:44:12.802976608Z
read Sep 29, 11:02 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	56% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	86% Yes	$190.5	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% Yes	$168.8	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	70% No	$90.2	—	—	Open
Concrete FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	$62	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 19 hours ago

Holders40

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

qqqmmmccc6564935161624493878060921823704867502337834310889363926114543398230015196109
1881aa35959369118506856005571201070805440864608956298446436799263480729359948148988
Hyperlong35959369118506856005571201070805440864608956298446436799263480729359948148988
Gs-Wannabe35959369118506856005571201070805440864608956298446436799263480729359948148988
yooo2378237835959369118506856005571201070805440864608956298446436799263480729359948148988

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Recent trades

SELL2%$2.25 days ago
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SELL96%$211.212 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 12:11 AM UTC