Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026? | Polymarket | 78% Yes | Open |
| Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
| Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
Venue activity
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3 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Artistic-Review · 4 months ago
A deadly cattle parasite has been confirmed in Texas as the U.S. herd already sits at its lowest level in 75 years.
- BigDutchy · 5 months ago
we shouldnt exist from the suffering that large scale civilization causes to humans.
- iForgor · 5 months ago
we shouldn't eat meat from the suffering that large scale farming causes to animals
As of Sep 30, 04:25 PM UTC