PolymarketOpen

Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?

No81%

Yes20%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:29 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$236.6

Spread18%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?	Polymarket	78% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?	Polymarket	71% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders25

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments3

Best bid 6% · best ask 28%

Top holders

rabbit00741774093251806032644582527413451583639976705293866269600111803053376129074347
0x2aa9736ea56119c9ba5fc842d77f596b7bca206c41774093251806032644582527413451583639976705293866269600111803053376129074347
rplt-cto40193461750821259928105886381670033711209494984518857437883682340481793796856
Pointed-Wilderness40193461750821259928105886381670033711209494984518857437883682340481793796856
cledont40193461750821259928105886381670033711209494984518857437883682340481793796856

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY8%$0.812 days ago
BUY28%$1.422 days ago
BUY17%$2.623 days ago
BUY83%$62.124 days ago
BUY75%$74.724 days ago
BUY29%$4.729 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

3 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Artistic-Review · 4 months ago
A deadly cattle parasite has been confirmed in Texas as the U.S. herd already sits at its lowest level in 75 years.
BigDutchy · 5 months ago
we shouldnt exist from the suffering that large scale civilization causes to humans.
iForgor · 5 months ago
we shouldn't eat meat from the suffering that large scale farming causes to animals

As of Sep 30, 02:18 PM UTC