PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Noble FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No88%

Yes13%

Price checked at Sep 30, 07:14 PM UTC

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24h volume$132.7

7d volume$348

30d volume$975.4

Liquidity$10.6K

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a resolution timestamp of 2028-01-01 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun does not list one. Both specify the same price-source approach and no material venue-specific resolution difference.

PredictFunOpen →
Noble FDV above $100M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-26T15:50:44.459752068Z
read Sep 30, 02:29 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Noble FDV above $100M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
13 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 02:50 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	88% No	—	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	88% No	—	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	85% No	$101	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Polymarket	94% No	$74.6	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 17 hours ago

Holders13

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 84% · best ask 89%

Top holders

cornishon134718825134809785175603846997718845806413266152748398886284816320889176224248
pootytherewardfarmer73974209915570908459683874823110585328411946643152890577529960983415245848063
Dr.PNL73974209915570908459683874823110585328411946643152890577529960983415245848063
xixihaha00973974209915570908459683874823110585328411946643152890577529960983415245848063
kuasuo34718825134809785175603846997718845806413266152748398886284816320889176224248

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY11%$3.318 hours ago
SELL83%$0.923 hours ago
SELL82%$123 hours ago
SELL16%$11.4yesterday
BUY11%$7.83 days ago
BUY82%$24.65 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 07:31 PM UTC