PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No91%

Yes9%

Price checked at Sep 30, 07:14 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$10.8K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical; Polymarket lists a resolution timestamp of January 1, 2028, while PredictFun does not specify one. Outcome ordering also differs but does not change the question.

PredictFunOpen →
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-26T15:50:44.459758278Z
read Sep 30, 02:34 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
22 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 02:41 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	88% No	—	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	88% No	—	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	88% No	$132.7	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	85% No	$101	—	—	Open
Noble FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Polymarket	94% No	$74.6	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 17 hours ago

Holders22

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

lakatosnapoleon101952640819642470670332385145135836967274417518225933067496634761580628734601
pizdi.bolyu101952640819642470670332385145135836967274417518225933067496634761580628734601
benguezmen22253756090458443559828932901769802991304370669999182058651031635331216453151
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.22253756090458443559828932901769802991304370669999182058651031635331216453151
Odd-Relish22253756090458443559828932901769802991304370669999182058651031635331216453151

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As of Sep 30, 07:29 PM UTC