Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

Yes76%
No24%

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24h volume$510
7d volume$922.1
30d volume$5.3K
Liquidity$314.8
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies settlement by January 1, 2027 UTC using official MLB information or credible reporting, with tie and no-winner rules; Kalshi lists no comparable settlement criteria and has an earlier displayed resolution time. These are resolution-rule and timing differences, not different underlying questions.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

    This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • KalshiOpen →

    AL Manager of the Year Winner?: Will Will Venable win AL MOTY?

    If Will Venable wins the Pro Baseball American League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 08:14 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 08:34 PM UTC