Will Craig Albernaz win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

No99%
Yes1%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles at a later stated time and specifies MLB/credible-reporting sourcing plus tie and no-winner rules; Kalshi publishes no comparable settlement procedure beyond its win condition. These are resolution-mechanism differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Craig Albernaz win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

    This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    17 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 04:06 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    AL Manager of the Year Winner?: Will Craig Albernaz win AL MOTY?

    If Craig Albernaz wins the Pro Baseball American League Manager of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 30, 10:44 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders17
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296659460886082831757951518478625086686202843781292963477330618958291571931218000
  • LornaPredicts98684397813717963655803300838346600642003295523731127358491027097438436420785
  • crckr98684397813717963655803300838346600642003295523731127358491027097438436420785
  • andy2998684397813717963655803300838346600642003295523731127358491027097438436420785
  • 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.98684397813717963655803300838346600642003295523731127358491027097438436420785

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As of Oct 1, 04:26 PM UTC