PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes56%

No44%

Price checked at Oct 1, 04:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$135

7d volume$814.1

30d volume$2.8K

Liquidity$4.5K

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket additionally lists a nominal resolution timestamp of 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z, while PredictFun has no resolvesAt value.

PredictFunOpen →
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-25T20:32:02.741984455Z
read Oct 1, 03:14 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
44 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 03:06 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	79% No	—	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Polymarket	54% No	—	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	69% No	—	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	68% No	—	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders44

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Best bid 49% · best ask 51%

Top holders

marketwizard104956439917206609577437415811811220571192419126743130732302074452007145878083
0xf22b92600b8736a7c1552f6de5808eee72647eab25717364812001713722641467958780406535485865925508649178970956782793907566434
1123581321345589104956439917206609577437415811811220571192419126743130732302074452007145878083
cornishon225717364812001713722641467958780406535485865925508649178970956782793907566434
benguezmen25717364812001713722641467958780406535485865925508649178970956782793907566434

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL51%$12.84 days ago
BUY48%$124 days ago
SELL52%$134 days ago
BUY61%$27.56 days ago
BUY58%$4.76 days ago
BUY45%$90.56 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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madril · 6 months ago
gm lads

As of Oct 1, 05:09 PM UTC