PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No81%

Yes20%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:53 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$9.2K

Spread5%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a nominal resolvesAt timestamp, while PredictFun does not, which does not change the question.

Polymarketthis market
QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
11 holders · 1 comments · read Sep 29, 03:06 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
QFEX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of QFEX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-25T20:32:02.742035295Z
read Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	57% Yes	—	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Polymarket	51% Yes	—	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	90% No	—	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	70% No	$279.5	—	—	Open
QFEX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	68% No	$18.1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 20 hours ago

Holders11

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments1

Best bid 87% · best ask 90%

Top holders

SuperTests47422152852802067043505568619007281496057242372533731951974805604619233917320
0xa588fb0cef4c5b2b3973d0e8a4047efac0737bfe64189590566180378007007994981348259181345265946194847707907122028875788781796
AJSV64189590566180378007007994981348259181345265946194847707907122028875788781796
Dr.PNL64189590566180378007007994981348259181345265946194847707907122028875788781796
nastynian47422152852802067043505568619007281496057242372533731951974805604619233917320

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY10%$83 days ago
BUY89%$8.94 days ago
BUY89%$8.94 days ago
BUY89%$13.44 days ago
BUY79%$23.76 days ago
BUY79%$23.76 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

From Polymarket's own thread

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madril · 6 months ago
gm lads

As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC