PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No98%

Yes3%

Price checked at Sep 30, 09:14 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$10.4K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria do not differ in any material way; Polymarket lists a nominal resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not.

PredictFunOpen →
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-12T13:26:51.656254672Z
read Sep 30, 04:51 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
16 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 02:40 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Neutrl FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	83% No	$41.3	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Polymarket	77% No	$10.9	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	82% No	$1.6	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	$0.2	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders16

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

qoxldtls6726791820443791937687828342493751118207080921474960251363707012704044545394
Dr.PNL34637702416530344074164476473759908246151561202351304491450225909083013653995
Numitus199434637702416530344074164476473759908246151561202351304491450225909083013653995
lakatosnapoleon6726791820443791937687828342493751118207080921474960251363707012704044545394
Haradwaith6726791820443791937687828342493751118207080921474960251363707012704044545394

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Recent trades

SELL97%$29.114 days ago
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SELL98%$29.414 days ago
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BUY98%$29.521 days ago
BUY98%$30.42 months ago

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As of Sep 30, 09:22 AM UTC