PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No97%

Yes3%

Price checked at Oct 1, 11:13 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$20.7K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. PredictFun lists no separate resolution timestamp, while Polymarket lists January 1, 2028 05:00 UTC, consistent with the stated December 31, 2027 deadline and no-launch fallback.

PredictFunOpen →
Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-12T13:26:51.656246787Z
read Oct 1, 05:25 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Neutrl FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Neutrl's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Neutrl (https://x.com/Neutrl) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
13 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 29, 03:03 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Polymarket	77% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Polymarket	82% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	94% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders13

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

qoxldtls67909545658137017298388452642618716238741019969038957639063237894003904410273
Dr.PNL90679591270016960598595784084087995428573936585428459599760423931512281160792
Numitus199490679591270016960598595784084087995428573936585428459599760423931512281160792
acal90679591270016960598595784084087995428573936585428459599760423931512281160792
pootytherewardfarmer90679591270016960598595784084087995428573936585428459599760423931512281160792

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL97%$21.322 days ago
SELL2%$0.525 days ago
SELL96%$1.430 days ago
SELL4%$0.7last month
SELL4%$1.1last month
SELL4%$0.6last month

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As of Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC